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The container shipping industry is experiencing an unprecedented divergence in the market, with U.S.-bound trade lanes suffering significant declines while routes to other regions show surprising strength, according to the latest BIMCO Container Shipping Market Overview & Outlook for September 2025.
“On the strength of demand in trade lanes not bound for the U.S., we have increased our ship demand growth forecast for 2025 to 4.5-5.5% while maintaining it at 2.5-3.5% for 2026. We now expect a balanced supply/demand development in 2026 while expecting average market conditions in 2025 to be worse than in 2024,” says Niels Rasmussen, Chief Shipping Analyst at BIMCO.
The stark contrast between U.S. import volumes and global shipping trends has become increasingly pronounced following the implementation of tariff increases announced on “Liberation Day.” With few exceptions, these tariffs are now fully implemented, along with several commodity-specific increases.
Read more in an article from gCaptain.